Political realities are off the maps

Divisions among Americans may not be so sharp

11/8/04

By SCOTT HADLY

NEWS-PRESS SENIOR WRITER

Lost in the red-and-blue electoral maps that tracked the presidential race on television and in most newspapers was the reality of American voters' almost evenly divided loyalties.

Blue states such as California that went for Democratic candidate John Kerry were swamped in a sea of red states, such as Texas, that went for Republican President Bush.

The maps -- a sort of media industry standard in the last few national elections -- tend to distort the political realities on the ground.

The truth is that divisions among Americans are much more even and nuanced.

A breakdown of voting shows that even in the most Republican or Democratic strongholds the other party has at least a toehold that's lost in solid red or blue.

One California county, Orange, gave the largest margin of victory for President Bush among all counties in the nation. But in the national red-blue election maps, Orange County was folded into California's blue color colored blue just like the rest of the California.

For geographers and cartographers, the stark two-color maps are a poor communicator of meaning. For everybody else, those who might shrug their shoulders and say "it's just a map," charting what really happened in the election explains more about who we are and why people voted the way they did.

Instead of conveying how people voted, the standard presidential election maps mostly just outline geography.

"It's actually communicating information about acres, not voters," said Daniel Montello, a UCSB geography professor.

All maps are distortions of reality, said Mr. Montello, who studies how people perceive space and geography. The earth is round and land masses are difficult to accurately draw on a two-dimensional plane. But different maps serve different purposes.

For Mr. Montello, who has a doctorate in psychology and serves as the chairman of the university's Cognitive Science Program, the meaning a map conveys is important.

The red of giant western states like Wyoming, with its population of less than 500,000, dominates the electoral map used by most newspapers.

But try and find the blue dot of the District of Columbia, which has close to 600,000 people. There are more people in a few blocks of New York City than the whole state of North Dakota, but you would probably have an easier time finding Bismarck than the Bronx in most of the national maps used to chart the election.

There are some notable exceptions to that rule. Both the New York Times and the Los Angeles Times this week have included different maps to chart such things as the depth of support for each candidate in each county across the nation. And both papers have included maps that distort the shape of states, enlarging and shrinking them based on their electoral votes.

It is ironic that distorted maps can actually convey more meaning than the standard representations of the United States, said Sara Fabrikant, a geography professor at UCSB.

Ms. Fabrikant created her first election map the day after the 2000 presidential election. The Swiss native wanted to understand the close race. She was perplexed by the message that the election was too close to call, yet the election maps used on television and in the newspapers showed a nation colored mostly Republican red.

"I'm not an American citizen and I didn't understand the electoral vote system until I put it on a map," she said.

The traditional political map made it appear that President Bush was winning hands down.

"In essence they are using the wrong visual form," Ms. Fabrikant said.

Using cartograms, maps that include statistical data to add color shading or distortions in shape, she created a map based on electoral votes that showed a more even split in votes between candidate Al Gore and Mr. Bush in the 2000 race.

She did it again this year, posting her maps online the day after the race.

The distorted maps range in color from a light blue to light pink, showing both the intensity of support for each candidate and the relative number of votes each got. (One of her colleagues said the distorted national map looks slightly like an upsidedown donkey, but Ms. Fabrikant said it was pure coincidence and that she has no party affiliation.)

"What you can really see is the urban and rural contrast in voting," Ms. Fabrikant said.

The cartogram contracts the empty land and expands the populated cities.

Over the summer she delivered a paper on the 2000 race, "Blue & Red America," to a group of German academics. She's also added other variables to her maps and included a breakdown by county. What's striking is that displaying the data in different ways begs new questions. On one map she included major rivers and highways and found a line of blue snaking up the Mississippi. In another she saw an arching band of blue extending through several southern states.

The apparent patterns prompted her to wonder if the lines followed the same migration routes of blacks who moved north for jobs, or whether they simply follow urban development along the river front. Ms. Fabrikant said she would like to work more with a political scientist to investigate those patterns.

Making these maps isn't about politics, she said, but communicating information.

"Basically what has been driving cartography for 5,000 years is the acknowledgement that a picture really is worth a thousand words."

FYI

Sara Fabrikant's election maps and information about cartograms can be found at her Web site: www.geog.ucsb.edu/~sara/

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